SIO 219: Observational Oceanography Seminar

Winter 2015

Seminar URL: http://talleylab.ucsd.edu/ltalley/sio219

 

Instructor: Lynne Talley

Location: Keck (OAR) Seminar Room

Time: Friday, noon-1

 

http://sam.ucsd.edu

ltalley at ucsd.edu

x46610

NH 305

 

Grading: S/U

Units: 1

 

Course overview

The observational seminar meets during the academic quarters and is open to all (students, postdocs, researchers, etc). It is a forum for informal discussion of current literature on observational aspects of physical oceanography and for presentation of individual's work in progress. The subject matter for each quarter is determined by the participants, weighted towards the preferences of the enrolled students.

 

Topic for Winter 2015: IPCC AR5 WG1 ocean

The winter quarter focus is the IPCC AR5 Working Group 1 (2013) report and recent published updates if conclusions have been refined. Students will be encouraged to focus on the Boxes and FAQs that are interspersed in the chapters. Presentations may also be drawn from the annual U.S. State of the Climate reports (BAMS) or the annual ICES climate reports (European perspective), or similar publications.

 

The format is a 30 to 40-minute presentation followed by or interleaved with discussion. Each enrolled student gives or shares one presentation and leads the discussion. Enrolled students are expected to read the assigned paper and participate actively each week.

 

Resources:

 

IPCC AR5 WG1 website http://www.climatechange2013.org

 

Full WG1 report (385 MB) is found at that site.

Local link to WG1 report, which might still be a slow download

 

Important subchapters

IPCC AR5 Summary for Policymakers

IPCC AR5 Technical summary (local link)

 

Click on Quick Links on the WG1 website to reach the following, and also a generic presentation on WG1.

IPCC AR5 WG1 fact sheet http://www.climatechange2013.org/images/uploads/WG1AR5_FactSheet.pdf

IPCC AR5 WG1 headline statements http://www.climatechange2013.org/images/uploads/WG1AR5_Headlines.pdf

 

State of the Climate 2013, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Sociey. Jessica Blunden and Derek S. Arndt, 2014: State of the Climate in 2013. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 95, S1–S279.

doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2014BAMSStateoftheClimate.1

 

IROC:  ICES Report on Climate of the North Atlantic with interactive graphics and annual reports.  (Most recent pdf report published in Dec. 2013, for year 2012.)

 

 

Winter, 2015  schedule.

January 9: Catherine Jones.  IPCC WG1 structure, generic presentation, headline summary.

Local link to WG1 Generic presentation (ppt) and WG1 headline statements (pdf).

 

January 16: Veronica Tamsitt. Heat content – observations.

Reading:

Headline statements

Summary for Policymakers: Section B.2 (page 8)

Technical summary: TS2.2 (pages 37-39)

Chapter 3: Section 3.2 and FAQ 3.1.

 

January 23: Uriel Zajaczkovski.  Heat content – attribution and projection

Summary for Policymakers: Section B.3 (p. 9-10) and E.5 (p 24-25).

Technical summary: TS 5.4.5 (p. 88),  TS5.5.6 (p. 93) – both just 1 paragraph

Chapter 11 (Near-term Climate Change): 11.3.3.1

Chapter 12 (Long-term Climate Change): 12.4.7

Annex 1 (Atlas …Projections): Figures A1.4, A1.5

 

January 30: Ru Chen.  Cryosphere change with focus on sea ice

Summary for Policymakers: Section E.4 (p. 24). Also D.1 and D.3 if you’re interested.

Technical summary: TS 2.5.3 and 2.5.4 (p. 40-41, 46)

Chapter 4 (Cryosphere): Focus on 4.1 and 4.2; skim all.

 

February 6: Andrew Delman.  Regional climate projections.

Summary for Policymakers: Section E.1 and E.2.

Chapter 14 (Future regional climate change): Exec summary, FAQ 14.2 (1256-1257), Table 14.3 (1288-1289). Optional: section 14.1

Chapter 14 supplementary material: section 14.SM.6.1 confidence levels and tables

 

February 13: Alisa Beaubien.  Atmospheric circulation changes.

Summary for Policymakers: Section B.1 and E.2.

Chapter 2 (Atmosphere observations): 2.6, 2.7

Chapter 10 (Detection and attribution): 10.3.3

Chapter 11 (Near-term Climate Change): 11.3.2.4

 

February 20: Julia Fiedler. Sea level rise.

Chapter 13  (Sea level): read executive summary, look at figures. Skim remainder.

Slangen, A. B. A., et al. "Projecting twenty-first century regional sea-level changes." Climatic change 124.1-2 (2014): 317-332.

 

February 27: Caitlin Whalen and Jess Millar. Extreme events.

Chapter 9 (Evaluation of climate models): 9.5.4

Chapter 10 (Detection and attribution): 10.6.1

IPCC Extreme Events report (2012): Summary for Policymakers (pp. 3-21)

 

March 6: Yassir Eddebbar. Biogeochemical changes.  (click here for single pdf of all reading)

Technical summary: TS 2.8 and TS 5.6

Chapter 6 (Carbon and other biogeochemical cycles): FAQ 6.2 and FAQ 6.2 (pages 530-531 and 544-545)

 

Supplementary interesting reading:

L. Bopp et al., 2013: "Multiple stressors of ocean ecosystems in the 21st century: projections with CMIP5 models“ 

http://www.biogeosciences.net/10/6225/2013/bg-10-6225-2013.html 

Feldman et. al., 2015: “Observational determination of surface radiative forcing by CO2 from 2000 to 2010"

http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/nature14240.html  

 

March 13: Erica Rosenblum.  Cryosphere projections and overall summary.

Summary for Policymakers: Section B3 and D3.

Technical summary: TS 2.5.3 (last para.) and TS 4.5 (first 3 paragraphs)

Chapter 4 (Cryosphere): 4.2.3.5, 4.2.3.7

Chapter 5 (Paleoclimate): Box 5.1 polar amplification

Chapter 10 (Detection and attribution): 10.5.1

 

          

 

Last modified 11 March 2015